DEVELOPING UZBEKISTAN’S SUSTAINABLE DEBT INSTRUMENTS MARKET: INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS, COMPARATIVE EXPERIENCE, AND A FIVE-PILLAR STRATEGY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23157325Keywords:
sustainable debt instruments, green bonds, Sustainability-Linked Bond Principles, green taxonomy, ESG disclosure, green refinancing, scenario analysis.Abstract
This article develops a five-pillar framework for deepening Uzbekistan’s domestic market for sustainable debt instruments, drawing on ICMA standards and a structured comparison of the United States, Japan, the European Union, China, the Republic of Korea, and India. A mechanism-level diagnostic indicates that Uzbekistan has adopted a National Green Economy Taxonomy (2023) and an IFRS Sustainability Disclosure Standards (IFRS SDS)-based ESG reporting framework for large enterprises (2026). Since 2021, sovereign and bank issuers have placed at least USD 2.7 billion of labelled bonds in international markets, while the only domestic labelled issue to date amounts to UZS 50 billion. Four structural mismatches—external–internal, public–private, strategy–instrument, and outcome–impact—help explain this gap. An illustrative solar-PV calculation shows that increasing the discount rate from 6 percent to 14 percent raises the levelised cost of electricity by about 72 percent (from USD 36.7 to USD 63.1 per MWh), while a 3-percentage-point coupon subsidy on a UZS 500 billion three-year bond has a present-value fiscal cost of about 7 percent of face value. Three policy-contingent issuance scenarios for 2026–2030, disaggregated by issuer category, produce cumulative labelled issuance of USD 3.25 billion, USD 7.92 billion, and USD 13.25 billion, with the domestic share reaching 14 percent, 29 percent, and 37 percent of annual issuance by 2030. These scenarios are transparent analytical illustrations rather than forecasts.
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